Market seasonality and momentum

Seasonality in Poland's ATV and UTV market: comparing periods correctly

The off-road vehicle market changes with the season, model availability and registration timing. A single month can be misleading, so ATV Radar provides consistent periods, year-on-year comparisons and complete closed months.

Author: Published: Updated: Review: Market research and data quality
Poland ATV market seasonalityquad sales seasonmonthly ATV registrationsUTV market trendquad market year-on-year comparison
The demand picture is based on data from Poland's Central Register of Vehicles and Drivers (CEPiK), supplemented by public registers, official company sources, model prices and ATV Radar research. Our methodology explains normalisation and limitations.
01

A complete month as the reference point

Trend comparisons use closed months. Current-month data is shown separately so an incomplete period is not compared with a complete month or year.

02

Month, quarter and trailing 12 months

A single month shows the latest impulse, a quarter reduces random volatility, and trailing 12 months reveal the durable direction without calendar seasonality dominating the result.

03

How to interpret brand growth

A movement should be checked across new and used vehicles, models and regions. Growth sustained over several months and multiple models is a stronger signal than a one-off registration spike.

Frequently asked questions

Is the current month included in trends?

No. It remains a separate preview until the period closes.

Which period best shows the trend?

Usually trailing 12 months and year-on-year comparison, supplemented by the monthly view.

Is seasonality identical for ATV and UTV?

Not necessarily. The segments may behave differently and can be analysed separately.